Thursday, July 10, 2008

Today's Markets

I'm going to use three charts today. First, let's use a three months daily chart:



First, notice the following:

-- Prices are below the 200 day SMA

-- Prices are below all the SMAS

-- All the SMAs are moving lower

-- The shorter SMAs are below the longers SMAs

In other words, the price and SMA alignment is about as bearish as you can get.



Above is a 6 month chart. Notice that prices are right below the lows set earlier this year. These two lows were part of a double bottom formation from which the market rallied.



Above is this week's chart in 5 minute increments. Notice a few important points.

-- Prices are meandering between two points. That means prices are consolidating.

-- There is a double bottom formation, with the first bottom forming late Monday and the second bottom forming today.

-- There is a second double bottom formation, with both bottoms occurring during today's trading.

Earlier this week, Barry over at The Big Picture noted that after a bad month a rebound was possible. The 5-minute chart says a bottom is forming. The question now is where is the rebound.

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